The Micromort

So the idea of the micromort is about conceptualizing risk.  A one in a million probability that something will kill you?  That’s 1 micromort.  Not the most difficult math, but it helps normalize risk (as for quantifying it, you’re still on your own), so (at least in some sense) the idea that hang-gliding generates the equivalent risk of death as driving 3000 km (~1800 mi) in a car.  There does seem to be a time element missing, as well as some way to account for mitigating elements (I can drive a lot better than I can hang-glide).  I saw this concept referenced on Bruce Schneier’s blog, who in turn credits the Stubborn Mule blog.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s